Over the past half-century, so many technology and
marketing developments have affected our lives and our work. It would
take this entire issue to do justice to only these inventions,
developments, creations and changes that have affected the electric
power transmission and distribution world in which we work. Therefore,
for this special edition of T&D World, I wanted to capture the
thoughts of some of the thousands of people who have played a role in
the formation of the industry as it is today. From the beginning of this
endeavor, I decided to limit my discussions to include only those people
who have worked in either the automation field or in the utility field
for at least 25 years, and who have seen a half-century or more of life
experiences. I wanted to seek out people with different backgrounds --
relaying, supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA), energy
management, remote terminal units, power quality, transformer monitoring
and the like --who have played a role in shaping today's world of
utility automation.
Vince Horvath, founder and CEO of Bitronics, a leading
independent metering company, suggested that "the integration of
microprocessors in measurement and control hardware and equipment"
was the most significant technological development that has impacted the
utility field. From a marketing standpoint, Vince said,
"Implementation of networking within substations allows for greater
access to intelligent devices through high-speed wide area
networks."
Ray Fernandez, a vice president of PPL, stated, "The
microprocessor used in relaying, SCADA systems and other equipment
provides faster, more accurate, real-time information." Without
hesitation, Fernandez added a single word to describe market changes --
deregulation. He went on to say, "There is also a trend to look for
more efficient, more accurate, more economical means of providing
T&D services underway. We are looking for more economical means of
providing the same T&D services and improving service and system
reliability."
Mike Stedman, director of business planning for Trench
Limited, suggested that, "In the transformer industry, the
biggest development has been in high-voltage equipment design, and the
use of computer and engineering design software, which has evolved from
AutoCad to today's modeling and simulation software." From a
marketing perspective, Stedman views four important developments as
crucial to his company's portion of the T&D industry. These
developments include: "the change in equipment specifications from
yesterday's largely utility specific requirements to today's national
and international standards; the tremendous improvements in product
quality, with thanks to ISO 9000 and now Six Sigma practices; the time
to market is much faster today than in prior decades; and finally, the
positive outlook among suppliers and utility customers to form
partnerships and strategic alliances.
Gary Hoffman, CEO of Advanced Power Technologies, a
technology start-up designed to serve the unmet relay needs of the
changing electric-power industry, and formerly general manager of
Alstom's U.S.-based Protection and Control Division, viewed two
developments as having revolutionized the industry: "First, the
microprocessor, which allowed manufacturers to develop products that are
smaller, cheaper and smarter. Secondly, the development of high-speed
digital communications has been a great technology enabler. It gives the
utilities great bandwidth that they are only beginning to utilize."
Looking at key marketing trends, Hoffman cited three key developments:
"the development of a unified communications protocol; with the
amount of data created by all of the intelligent devices, there is a
growing need for expert systems that do something with this data; and
finally, the use of the Internet will revolutionize the access and
dissemination of information."
John Muench, CEO of Advanced Control Systems, the
country's largest privately-held SCADA and distribution management
system (DMS) company, stated that "Deregulation will drive
automation down to the distribution level, with major systems
architecture focused on distribution optimization. That is where
improvements will come with the assistance of forthcoming technology
advances. EMS will be relegated to the independent system operator (ISO)
level, while SCADA and DMS will become critical to distribution
operations." Regarding technology developments, Muench indicated
that "the development of UNIX architecture was a critical
breakthrough in operating systems, paving the way for a host of 'open
systems' developments." Muench expressed misgivings at the current
euphoria over Windows NT in this mission critical environment,
indicating, "NT could be the biggest threat to stability and
security in tomorrow's control center. NT is not a stable enough
platform to host mission-critical systems. NT's use as a client is fine
but not so at the server level."
Stan Kijewski, vice president of information services for PJM
Interconnection, indicated, in no uncertain terms, that "the
availability of applications packages to help cope with the issues
confronting organizations in the transition to deregulation, and
applications for use by ISO and power exchange organizations" is at
the top of his list of technology developments. From a market trends
perspective, the formation of ISOs, such as PJM Interconnection and
power exchanges, represents a profound change in the way electricity is
brought to market.
I've developed my own personal "top-of-the-list" views on
technology and marketing developments. First, the development of the
microprocessor is undoubtedly the single most important technology
development leading to almost all of today's T&D
"automation" infrastructure. Secondly, the host of more recent
developments that are having profound influence in our work with
computer-based systems. In my book, the top developments are the
Internet (yet to realize its full potential in the T&D world) and
the availability of relational database management systems, which now
are so pivotal in the control centers of today's progressive utilities.
From a market trends viewpoint, my money is on the changing nature of
industry suppliers who will become the dominant few through merger and
acquisition as the number of larger suppliers shrinks. Additionally, I
believe today's technology-based hardware, software and services
"niche" specialists will continue to play a valuable role in
various T&D automation fields.